“If this guy’s on the card, slam the Over. Man hasn’t finished a sandwich since 2018.”
That’s not just gym talk — it’s a quiet truth in the UFC betting world. Some fighters just don’t finish. Not because they can’t fight, but because they fight in ways that kill pace, smother chaos, and stall violence.

And if you know who they are, you can profit where casuals bet for highlight reels.

Enter: The Decision Club

It’s not official. There’s no group photo. But in every MMA analytics thread, there’s a running list:
The fighters who drag fights to the scorecards like it’s a job requirement.

They’re technically sharp, cardio-rich, and risk-averse. They’re matchmakers’ insurance policy and the bookmaker’s slow bleed. They are distance dealers.

Here’s a breakdown of some of the most reliable “no-finish” profiles in UFC and beyond:

Fighter	Last Finish Win	Decisions in Last 10 Fights	Weight Class	Style
Katlyn Chookagian	July 2016	9 of 10	Women’s Flyweight	Range kickboxer
Belal Muhammad	Sept 2019	8 of 10	Welterweight	Pressure wrestler
Neil Magny	May 2020	7 of 10	Welterweight	Volume grappler
Amir Albazi	N/A in UFC	4 of 5	Flyweight	Positional grappler
Maycee Barber	Early career KO	6 of 8	Women’s Flyweight	Clinch-heavy striker
Lerone Murphy	Still undefeated	5 of 6 wins by decision	Featherweight	Counter striker

Notice a pattern? High cardio, low volatility. These fighters neutralise. They don’t chase. They edge out rounds and squeeze the clock like pros.

What Kills a Finish?

Understanding what stops a finish is more useful than predicting a KO. Here are some invisible walls bettors overlook:

Style Mirrors

Two range strikers = jab-fest
Two grapplers = wall-and-stall
Two cautious debuts = respect match

Fights like Chookagian vs Calvillo or Magny vs Griffin weren’t designed for violence. They were chess with gloves.
Strategy Tip: When both fighters rely on rhythm, and no one forces pace, the “Fight Goes Distance” prop gains value.

Altitude + Short Camps

In places like Mexico City or Salt Lake, even aggressive fighters slow by Round 2. Short-notice bouts tend to favour conservative strategies and fatigue-safe pacing.

Market Mispricing from Finish Hype

A fighter with one big KO is often overvalued on the finish line for years. If their opponent has never been stopped — that’s where the distance play sneaks in.

The “Boring But Profitable” Style Grid

Let’s map fighting style against finish probability:

Style	Finish Likelihood	Best Bet Type
Pressure grappler	Low if control-heavy	Over 2.5 rounds / Decision
Technical kickboxer	Very low	Fight Goes Distance / Decision
Wild brawler	High	Under 1.5 / KO
Counter-striker	Low–Medium	Decision or late KO
Submission specialist	Medium (depends on level)	Sub or bust, avoid Over bets

Pro Tip: The mistake many bettors make is mixing style with reputation. A famous striker who manages distance is not a finisher. They’re a decision machine.

Scout the Boring Edge

Let others chase the thrill. You’re here for the edge. That means accepting the truth: boring fights are where value lives.

When the market drools over highlight reels and debut hype, you bet the over. When everyone expects a first-round KO, you take a sip of water and quietly click “Fight Goes Distance.”

Why?
Because Katlyn Chookagian isn’t going to submit anyone.
Because Neil Magny is going to jab, clinch, and make time evaporate.
Because smart money beats loud money. Every. Single. Round.

So next time you see a co-main that looks like a sparring session in disguise, don’t tune out. Lean in.